The crisis within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) in Kenya represents a significant challenge for the party, which is grappling with deep internal divisions. These tensions stem primarily from leadership disputes, factionalism, differing strategies on how to engage with President William Ruto’s government, and financial difficulties. This turmoil threatens the party’s cohesion and its future effectiveness as a leading opposition force in Kenyan politics.
  
One of the most prominent issues is the leadership conflict within ODM. Tensions have escalated between senior figures, with Oburu Odinga reportedly calling for Edwin Sifuna’s resignation. Sifuna, the party’s Secretary-General, has been a central figure in ODM’s operations and advocacy, so any move to remove him could signify a major shift in the party’s direction.
Supporters of Sifuna argue that he has been vital in keeping the party united and relevant, while those backing Oburu Odinga may see his leadership as more aligned with their vision for the party’s future. These internal struggles over leadership underscore the larger issue of who holds the power to influence ODM’s policies and strategy.
Factionalism is another key problem within the party. The ODM is now split into competing factions, each holding separate meetings and pushing differing visions for the party’s role in the upcoming 2027 elections. Some factions argue for a more pragmatic approach, including possible cooperation with Ruto’s Kenya Kwanza government, while others maintain that ODM must remain a strong opposition force.
This division is particularly dangerous because it not only weakens the party’s internal unity but also sends conflicting messages to its supporters. The strategic direction the party takes in the lead-up to the 2027 elections could significantly impact its electoral prospects, and these internal rifts risk alienating voters who crave consistency and leadership.
The question of how much to cooperate with Ruto’s government is a central issue. ODM has traditionally positioned itself as a strong opposition party, but some members see cooperation with the ruling government as a necessary move for political leverage and survival. However, this stance risks angering core supporters who view such cooperation as a betrayal of ODM’s foundational principles. As the 2027 elections draw closer, this debate will likely intensify, and the party’s ability to find common ground on this issue could determine its future role in Kenyan politics.
ODM’s financial woes further complicate matters. The party claims that the government has withheld substantial funds, hampering its ability to effectively organize and mobilize supporters. In opposition, financial resources are crucial for running campaigns and maintaining visibility, so this financial constraint could leave ODM vulnerable to both internal and external challenges. Without these resources, the party may find it difficult to mount an effective opposition or build strong grassroots support.
Despite these challenges, there have been efforts to mediate and heal the divisions within ODM. Figures like Ida Odinga and party trustees have called for unity, but their efforts have so far been unsuccessful in resolving the crisis. The early 2026 crisis meetings, along with public disputes and protests, reflect the deepening divide within the party. If these internal issues are not addressed quickly, ODM risks losing its credibility and becoming further fragmented.
In conclusion, the ODM crisis is a multifaceted issue involving leadership disputes, factionalism, financial struggles, and strategic disagreements. As the 2027 elections approach, the party’s ability to unite and resolve its internal conflicts will be crucial for its survival. However, if ODM remains fractured, it may lose its position as a key opposition party, leaving room for other political forces to rise in prominence.
